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Updated: 2022 Jun 13, 20:48 UT
Event Rank : 99
(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).
THE UPDATED PATH
Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.
On 2022 Aug 04 UT, the 135 km diameter asteroid (70) Panopaea will occult a 11.2 mag star in the constellation Scorpius for observers along a path across New South Wales, south-western Queensland and Northern Territory, passing over Narooma, Canberra, Forbes and Parkes.
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 0.9 mag to 11.47 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 92.2 seconds.
This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/
EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY :Important Note regarding Accuracy:
The uncertainty interval in path widths given above (and shown as a 1-sigma uncertainty ellipse on the plot) refers to RMS deviation and is applied as a +/- range. In other words, a path uncertainty of 1.0 path widths means that the actual center of the asteroid's shadow path should fall within plus or minus 1 path width of the plotted path center. However path errors larger than 1 sigma have been observed so observers should be alert for primary occultations within plus or minus 3 sigma of the updated path.
Further, almost all asteroidal satellites discovered so far have been found within 10 diameters of the asteroid (since this distance is deep enough within the gravitational well to be stable over long timescales). Therefore, if monitoring for secondary events, observing out to about 10 path-widths either side of the predicted track remains worthwhile.
We therefore recommend that you monitor for events if your observing location is up to +/- 10 path-widths from the predicted track. If not monitoring for occultations by secondary bodies you should observe from locations within 3 sigma of the nominal path.
In terms of time, the predictions are now usually accurate to about +/- 0.3 minute so you should be most attentive during the predicted minute of the event. However if intending to catch a potential satellite occultation you should start observing at least 10 times the predicted central duration before the predicted closest approach time for your location, and continue for a similar period afterwards.
Occultation of UCAC4 253-130288 by 70 Panopaea on 2022 Aug 4
Centre Star Star Sun Path Limit1 Path Limit2 Error Limit1 Error Limit2 Alt
E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Crn
o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' "
Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude Longitude Latitude
152 46 18 -38 56 32 12 17 22.5 71 260 -60 152 1 57 -39 12 53 153 30 30 -38 39 52 151 40 56 -39 20 31 153 51 20 -38 31 53 -0.30
152 26 22 -38 36 47 12 17 50.5 71 259 -60 151 42 10 -38 53 3 153 10 24 -38 20 12 151 21 13 -39 0 38 153 31 10 -38 12 16 -0.31
152 6 36 -38 17 0 12 18 18.4 71 258 -60 151 22 33 -38 33 12 152 50 29 -38 0 30 151 1 41 -38 40 44 153 11 11 -37 52 36 -0.31
151 47 0 -37 57 11 12 18 46.4 71 257 -60 151 3 7 -38 13 18 152 30 45 -37 40 46 150 42 20 -38 20 48 152 51 22 -37 32 54 -0.31
151 27 36 -37 37 20 12 19 14.4 71 256 -60 150 43 51 -37 53 22 152 11 11 -37 21 0 150 23 8 -38 0 51 152 31 44 -37 13 10 -0.31
151 8 21 -37 17 27 12 19 42.3 71 255 -60 150 24 46 -37 33 25 151 51 48 -37 1 12 150 4 7 -37 40 51 152 12 17 -36 53 24 -0.31
150 49 16 -36 57 32 12 20 10.3 71 254 -60 150 5 50 -37 13 25 151 32 34 -36 41 21 149 45 16 -37 20 49 151 52 59 -36 33 36 -0.31
150 30 21 -36 37 35 12 20 38.3 72 253 -60 149 47 4 -36 53 24 151 13 31 -36 21 29 149 26 34 -37 0 46 151 33 52 -36 13 45 -0.31
150 11 36 -36 17 36 12 21 6.2 72 252 -60 149 28 27 -36 33 20 150 54 37 -36 1 34 149 8 1 -36 40 40 151 14 54 -35 53 53 -0.31
149 53 0 -35 57 35 12 21 34.2 72 251 -60 149 10 0 -36 13 15 150 35 52 -35 41 37 148 49 38 -36 20 33 150 56 5 -35 33 58 -0.32
149 34 33 -35 37 31 12 22 2.2 72 250 -60 148 51 42 -35 53 7 150 17 17 -35 21 38 148 31 24 -36 0 23 150 37 26 -35 14 1 -0.32
149 16 15 -35 17 26 12 22 30.1 72 249 -60 148 33 32 -35 32 58 149 58 51 -35 1 36 148 13 19 -35 40 12 150 18 56 -34 54 1 -0.32
148 58 6 -34 57 18 12 22 58.1 72 248 -60 148 15 32 -35 12 46 149 40 34 -34 41 33 147 55 22 -35 19 58 150 0 35 -34 34 0 -0.32
148 40 6 -34 37 9 12 23 26.1 72 247 -60 147 57 40 -34 52 33 149 22 25 -34 21 27 147 37 34 -34 59 43 149 42 23 -34 13 56 -0.32
148 22 14 -34 16 57 12 23 54.0 72 246 -60 147 39 56 -34 32 17 149 4 25 -34 1 19 147 19 54 -34 39 25 149 24 19 -33 53 50 -0.32
148 4 30 -33 56 43 12 24 22.0 72 245 -60 147 22 21 -34 11 59 148 46 34 -33 41 9 147 2 23 -34 19 6 149 6 24 -33 33 41 -0.32
147 46 55 -33 36 27 12 24 50.0 72 244 -60 147 4 53 -33 51 39 148 28 51 -33 20 57 146 44 59 -33 58 45 148 48 38 -33 13 31 -0.32
147 29 28 -33 16 9 12 25 17.9 72 243 -60 146 47 34 -33 31 18 148 11 16 -33 0 42 146 27 44 -33 38 21 148 30 59 -32 53 18 -0.33
147 12 8 -32 55 48 12 25 45.9 72 242 -60 146 30 22 -33 10 54 147 53 49 -32 40 25 146 10 36 -33 17 55 148 13 28 -32 33 3 -0.33
146 54 57 -32 35 25 12 26 13.9 72 241 -60 146 13 18 -32 50 27 147 36 29 -32 20 6 145 53 36 -32 57 27 147 56 6 -32 12 45 -0.33
146 37 52 -32 15 1 12 26 41.8 72 240 -60 145 56 22 -32 29 59 147 19 18 -31 59 44 145 36 43 -32 36 57 147 38 51 -31 52 25 -0.33
146 20 56 -31 54 33 12 27 9.8 72 239 -60 145 39 33 -32 9 28 147 2 14 -31 39 20 145 19 58 -32 16 25 147 21 43 -31 32 3 -0.33
146 4 6 -31 34 4 12 27 37.8 72 238 -60 145 22 51 -31 48 56 146 45 17 -31 18 54 145 3 19 -31 55 51 147 4 43 -31 11 38 -0.33
145 47 24 -31 13 32 12 28 5.7 71 237 -60 145 6 16 -31 28 21 146 28 28 -30 58 25 144 46 48 -31 35 15 146 47 51 -30 51 11 -0.34
145 30 49 -30 52 58 12 28 33.7 71 236 -60 144 49 48 -31 7 43 146 11 46 -30 37 54 144 30 24 -31 14 36 146 31 5 -30 30 41 -0.34
145 14 21 -30 32 21 12 29 1.7 71 235 -60 144 33 27 -30 47 4 145 55 11 -30 17 21 144 14 6 -30 53 55 146 14 27 -30 10 9 -0.34
144 58 0 -30 11 42 12 29 29.6 71 234 -60 144 17 13 -30 26 22 145 38 42 -29 56 44 143 57 55 -30 33 11 145 57 55 -29 49 34 -0.34
144 41 45 -29 51 1 12 29 57.6 71 233 -60 144 1 5 -30 5 37 145 22 21 -29 36 6 143 41 51 -30 12 26 145 41 31 -29 28 57 -0.34
144 25 37 -29 30 17 12 30 25.6 71 232 -60 143 45 4 -29 44 51 145 6 6 -29 15 25 143 25 53 -29 51 38 145 25 13 -29 8 17 -0.34
144 9 35 -29 9 30 12 30 53.5 71 231 -60 143 29 9 -29 24 2 144 49 58 -28 54 41 143 10 1 -29 30 47 145 9 1 -28 47 35 -0.34
143 53 40 -28 48 41 12 31 21.5 71 230 -60 143 13 20 -29 3 10 144 33 56 -28 33 55 142 54 16 -29 9 54 144 52 57 -28 26 50 -0.35
143 37 51 -28 27 50 12 31 49.5 71 229 -60 142 57 38 -28 42 16 144 18 1 -28 13 6 142 38 36 -28 48 59 144 36 58 -28 6 2 -0.35
143 22 8 -28 6 56 12 32 17.4 71 228 -60 142 42 2 -28 21 19 144 2 11 -27 52 14 142 23 3 -28 28 1 144 21 6 -27 45 12 -0.35
143 6 31 -27 45 59 12 32 45.4 70 228 -60 142 26 31 -28 0 20 143 46 28 -27 31 20 142 7 36 -28 7 1 144 5 20 -27 24 19 -0.35
142 51 0 -27 24 59 12 33 13.4 70 227 -60 142 11 6 -27 39 18 143 30 51 -27 10 23 141 52 14 -27 45 58 143 49 40 -27 3 23 -0.35
142 35 35 -27 3 57 12 33 41.3 70 226 -60 141 55 47 -27 18 13 143 15 20 -26 49 23 141 36 58 -27 24 52 143 34 6 -26 42 24 -0.35
142 20 15 -26 42 52 12 34 9.3 70 225 -60 141 40 34 -26 57 6 142 59 54 -26 28 20 141 21 48 -27 3 44 143 18 37 -26 21 22 -0.36
142 5 2 -26 21 44 12 34 37.3 70 224 -60 141 25 26 -26 35 56 142 44 35 -26 7 15 141 6 43 -26 42 33 143 3 15 -26 0 18 -0.36
141 49 53 -26 0 34 12 35 5.2 70 223 -60 141 10 24 -26 14 44 142 29 20 -25 46 6 140 51 43 -26 21 19 142 47 58 -25 39 10 -0.36
141 34 51 -25 39 20 12 35 33.2 69 222 -60 140 55 27 -25 53 28 142 14 12 -25 24 55 140 36 49 -26 0 2 142 32 47 -25 18 0 -0.36
141 19 53 -25 18 4 12 36 1.2 69 222 -60 140 40 35 -25 32 9 141 59 9 -25 3 41 140 22 0 -25 38 43 142 17 41 -24 56 46 -0.36
141 5 1 -24 56 44 12 36 29.1 69 221 -60 140 25 49 -25 10 48 141 44 11 -24 42 23 140 7 17 -25 17 21 142 2 41 -24 35 30 -0.36
140 50 14 -24 35 22 12 36 57.1 69 220 -60 140 11 7 -24 49 24 141 29 19 -24 21 3 139 52 38 -24 55 55 141 47 46 -24 14 10 -0.37
140 35 32 -24 13 56 12 37 25.0 69 219 -60 139 56 31 -24 27 56 141 14 31 -23 59 39 139 38 4 -24 34 27 141 32 56 -23 52 47 -0.37
140 20 55 -23 52 28 12 37 53.0 69 218 -60 139 42 0 -24 6 26 140 59 49 -23 38 12 139 23 35 -24 12 56 141 18 12 -23 31 21 -0.37
140 6 23 -23 30 56 12 38 21.0 68 218 -60 139 27 33 -23 44 52 140 45 12 -23 16 42 139 9 11 -23 51 22 141 3 32 -23 9 52 -0.37
139 51 56 -23 9 21 12 38 48.9 68 217 -59 139 13 11 -23 23 16 140 30 40 -22 55 8 138 54 52 -23 29 44 140 48 58 -22 48 19 -0.37
139 37 34 -22 47 43 12 39 16.9 68 216 -59 138 58 54 -23 1 36 140 16 13 -22 33 32 138 40 37 -23 8 3 140 34 28 -22 26 43 -0.38
139 23 17 -22 26 1 12 39 44.9 68 216 -59 138 44 42 -22 39 53 140 1 51 -22 11 51 138 26 27 -22 46 19 140 20 4 -22 5 4 -0.38
139 9 4 -22 4 16 12 40 12.8 67 215 -59 138 30 34 -22 18 6 139 47 33 -21 50 8 138 12 22 -22 24 32 140 5 44 -21 43 21 -0.38
138 54 56 -21 42 27 12 40 40.8 67 214 -59 138 16 31 -21 56 16 139 33 20 -21 28 20 137 58 21 -22 2 42 139 51 29 -21 21 34 -0.38
138 40 52 -21 20 35 12 41 8.8 67 214 -59 138 2 32 -21 34 23 139 19 12 -21 6 30 137 44 24 -21 40 47 139 37 18 -20 59 44 -0.38
138 26 53 -20 58 39 12 41 36.7 67 213 -59 137 48 37 -21 12 26 139 5 8 -20 44 35 137 30 32 -21 18 50 139 23 12 -20 37 50 -0.39
138 12 58 -20 36 40 12 42 4.7 66 212 -59 137 34 47 -20 50 25 138 51 9 -20 22 37 137 16 44 -20 56 49 139 9 11 -20 15 52 -0.39
137 59 8 -20 14 37 12 42 32.7 66 212 -59 137 21 1 -20 28 21 138 37 14 -20 0 35 137 3 0 -20 34 44 138 55 14 -19 53 51 -0.39
137 45 21 -19 52 30 12 43 0.6 66 211 -59 137 7 19 -20 6 13 138 23 23 -19 38 29 136 49 21 -20 12 35 138 41 22 -19 31 46 -0.39
137 31 39 -19 30 19 12 43 28.6 66 210 -58 136 53 42 -19 44 1 138 9 37 -19 16 19 136 35 45 -19 50 23 138 27 33 -19 9 36 -0.39
137 18 2 -19 8 5 12 43 56.6 65 210 -58 136 40 8 -19 21 45 137 55 55 -18 54 6 136 22 14 -19 28 7 138 13 50 -18 47 23 -0.40
137 4 28 -18 45 46 12 44 24.5 65 209 -58 136 26 38 -18 59 26 137 42 17 -18 31 48 136 8 46 -19 5 47 138 0 10 -18 25 6 -0.40
136 50 58 -18 23 23 12 44 52.5 65 209 -58 136 13 13 -18 37 2 137 28 44 -18 9 26 135 55 22 -18 43 23 137 46 34 -18 2 44 -0.40
136 37 33 -18 0 56 12 45 20.5 65 208 -58 135 59 51 -18 14 35 137 15 14 -17 47 0 135 42 2 -18 20 55 137 33 3 -17 40 18 -0.40
136 24 11 -17 38 25 12 45 48.4 64 208 -58 135 46 33 -17 52 3 137 1 49 -17 24 29 135 28 46 -17 58 23 137 19 36 -17 17 48 -0.40
136 10 53 -17 15 50 12 46 16.4 64 207 -58 135 33 19 -17 29 27 136 48 27 -17 1 55 135 15 34 -17 35 47 137 6 13 -16 55 14 -0.41
135 57 39 -16 53 10 12 46 44.4 64 207 -58 135 20 9 -17 6 46 136 35 9 -16 39 15 135 2 26 -17 13 6 136 52 53 -16 32 35 -0.41
135 44 29 -16 30 26 12 47 12.3 63 206 -57 135 7 2 -16 44 2 136 21 56 -16 16 32 134 49 21 -16 50 21 136 39 38 -16 9 51 -0.41
135 31 22 -16 7 37 12 47 40.3 63 206 -57 134 53 59 -16 21 12 136 8 46 -15 53 43 134 36 19 -16 27 31 136 26 26 -15 47 3 -0.41
135 18 19 -15 44 43 12 48 8.3 63 205 -57 134 41 0 -15 58 19 135 55 40 -15 30 50 134 23 22 -16 4 37 136 13 19 -15 24 10 -0.41
135 5 20 -15 21 45 12 48 36.2 63 205 -57 134 28 4 -15 35 20 135 42 37 -15 7 52 134 10 27 -15 41 39 136 0 15 -15 1 12 -0.42
134 52 24 -14 58 42 12 49 4.2 62 204 -57 134 15 11 -15 12 17 135 29 38 -14 44 49 133 57 37 -15 18 35 135 47 15 -14 38 9 -0.42
134 39 32 -14 35 34 12 49 32.2 62 204 -57 134 2 23 -14 49 8 135 16 43 -14 21 41 133 44 49 -14 55 27 135 34 18 -14 15 1 -0.42
134 26 44 -14 12 21 12 50 0.1 62 204 -57 133 49 37 -14 25 55 135 3 52 -13 58 28 133 32 5 -14 32 14 135 21 25 -13 51 48 -0.42
134 13 59 -13 49 3 12 50 28.1 61 203 -56 133 36 55 -14 2 37 134 51 4 -13 35 10 133 19 25 -14 8 55 135 8 36 -13 28 30 -0.42
134 1 17 -13 25 39 12 50 56.1 61 203 -56 133 24 16 -13 39 14 134 38 20 -13 11 46 133 6 47 -13 45 32 134 55 51 -13 5 6 -0.43
133 48 39 -13 2 10 12 51 24.0 61 202 -56 133 11 41 -13 15 45 134 25 39 -12 48 17 132 54 13 -13 22 3 134 43 9 -12 41 37 -0.43
133 36 4 -12 38 36 12 51 52.0 60 202 -56 132 59 9 -12 52 11 134 13 2 -12 24 43 132 41 42 -12 58 29 134 30 30 -12 18 2 -0.43
133 23 33 -12 14 56 12 52 20.0 60 202 -56 132 46 40 -12 28 31 134 0 28 -12 1 2 132 29 15 -12 34 50 134 17 55 -11 54 22 -0.43
133 11 5 -11 51 11 12 52 47.9 60 201 -56 132 34 14 -12 4 46 133 47 57 -11 37 16 132 16 50 -12 11 5 134 5 23 -11 30 36 -0.44
132 58 40 -11 27 19 12 53 15.9 59 201 -55 132 21 52 -11 40 55 133 35 30 -11 13 25 132 4 29 -11 47 14 133 52 55 -11 6 43 -0.44
132 46 18 -11 3 22 12 53 43.9 59 200 -55 132 9 32 -11 16 58 133 23 6 -10 49 27 131 52 10 -11 23 17 133 40 30 -10 42 45 -0.44
132 33 59 -10 39 19 12 54 11.8 59 200 -55 131 57 16 -10 52 55 133 10 45 -10 25 23 131 39 55 -10 59 15 133 28 9 -10 18 41 -0.44
132 21 44 -10 15 9 12 54 39.8 58 200 -55 131 45 3 -10 28 46 132 58 28 -10 1 12 131 27 43 -10 35 6 133 15 50 - 9 54 30 -0.45
132 9 32 - 9 50 53 12 55 7.8 58 199 -55 131 32 52 -10 4 31 132 46 14 - 9 36 55 131 15 34 -10 10 51 133 3 35 - 9 30 13 -0.45
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