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ASTROMETRIC UPDATE:
OCCULTATION BY (498) TOKIO - 2018 Mar 14

[Detailed Finder Charts]


Updated:   2018 JAN 15, 18:14 UT

Event Rank : 99

(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).


THE UPDATED PATH

Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.

Tokio Update Map


On 2018 Mar 14 UT, the 82 km diameter asteroid (498) Tokio will occult a 11.0 mag star in the constellation Sagittarius for observers along a path across south-eastern Australia, from Kangaroo Island (at low elevation) across south-eastern South Australia and central Victoria, including Melbourne, and across the South Island of New Zealand, from Milford Sound to Dunedin.

In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 3.07 mag to 14.00 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 2.4 seconds.

This update is based on UNSO/Flagstaff astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Hugh Harris, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Bill Owen, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center.

Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/

EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY : Data for the target star : Data for the minor planet : The Occultation Path :
                   Centre              Star  Star   Sun      Path Limits           Error Limits       Alt
  E. Longitude   Latitude      U.T.    Alt    Az   Alt    Limit 1    Limit 2    Limit 3    Limit 4   Crn
      o  '  "     o  '  "    h  m  s     o     o     o    o  '  "    o  '  "    o  '  "    o  '  "
                                                         Latitude   Latitude   Latitude   Latitude
    133  0  0   -33 16 51   16 20  9     1   114   -51  -33 45 38  -32 48 15  -33 56 15  -32 37 46   ....
    134  0  0   -33 40  3   16 20  9     1   114   -51  -34  8 49  -33 11 26  -34 19 27  -33  0 57   0.54
    135  0  0   -34  3  9   16 20  9     2   113   -50  -34 31 55  -33 34 32  -34 42 33  -33 24  3   0.57
    136  0  0   -34 26  8   16 20  9     3   113   -49  -34 54 54  -33 57 32  -35  5 32  -33 47  2   0.58
    137  0  0   -34 49  1   16 20  9     4   112   -49  -35 17 47  -34 20 25  -35 28 25  -34  9 56   0.59

    138  0  0   -35 11 47   16 20 10     5   112   -48  -35 40 32  -34 43 11  -35 51 10  -34 32 42   0.59
    139  0  0   -35 34 25   16 20 10     6   111   -47  -36  3 10  -35  5 49  -36 13 47  -34 55 20   0.59
    140  0  0   -35 56 54   16 20 10     7   110   -46  -36 25 39  -35 28 19  -36 36 16  -35 17 51   0.60
    141  0  0   -36 19 15   16 20 11     8   110   -46  -36 47 59  -35 50 41  -36 58 36  -35 40 12   0.60
    142  0  0   -36 41 27   16 20 11     9   109   -45  -37 10 10  -36 12 53  -37 20 46  -36  2 25   0.60

    143  0  0   -37  3 29   16 20 12    10   109   -44  -37 32 11  -36 34 56  -37 42 47  -36 24 28   0.60
    144  0  0   -37 25 20   16 20 12    10   108   -43  -37 54  1  -36 56 49  -38  4 37  -36 46 21   0.60
    145  0  0   -37 47  1   16 20 13    11   107   -42  -38 15 41  -37 18 31  -38 26 16  -37  8  4   0.60
    146  0  0   -38  8 31   16 20 14    12   107   -42  -38 37 10  -37 40  2  -38 47 45  -37 29 35   0.60
    147  0  0   -38 29 50   16 20 14    13   106   -41  -38 58 27  -38  1 22  -39  9  1  -37 50 56   0.60

    148  0  0   -38 50 56   16 20 15    14   105   -40  -39 19 32  -38 22 30  -39 30  6  -38 12  4   0.61
    149  0  0   -39 11 50   16 20 16    15   105   -39  -39 40 24  -38 43 26  -39 50 58  -38 33  0   0.61
    150  0  0   -39 32 32   16 20 17    16   104   -39  -40  1  4  -39  4  9  -40 11 37  -38 53 44   0.61
    151  0  0   -39 53  0   16 20 18    16   103   -38  -40 21 31  -39 24 39  -40 32  3  -39 14 15   0.61
    152  0  0   -40 13 15   16 20 19    17   103   -37  -40 41 44  -39 44 56  -40 52 16  -39 34 33   0.61

    153  0  0   -40 33 17   16 20 20    18   102   -36  -41  1 44  -40  4 59  -41 12 14  -39 54 37   0.61
    154  0  0   -40 53  4   16 20 20    19   101   -35  -41 21 29  -40 24 49  -41 31 59  -40 14 27   0.61
    155  0  0   -41 12 37   16 20 22    20   101   -35  -41 41  0  -40 44 24  -41 51 29  -40 34  3   0.61
    156  0  0   -41 31 56   16 20 23    20   100   -34  -42  0 16  -41  3 44  -42 10 45  -40 53 24   0.61
    157  0  0   -41 50 59   16 20 24    21    99   -33  -42 19 18  -41 22 50  -42 29 45  -41 12 31   0.61

    158  0  0   -42  9 48   16 20 25    22    98   -32  -42 38  4  -41 41 41  -42 48 30  -41 31 22   0.61
    159  0  0   -42 28 21   16 20 26    23    98   -31  -42 56 34  -42  0 16  -43  7  0  -41 49 58   0.61
    160  0  0   -42 46 38   16 20 27    24    97   -31  -43 14 49  -42 18 36  -43 25 14  -42  8 19   0.61
    161  0  0   -43  4 40   16 20 28    24    96   -30  -43 32 49  -42 36 40  -43 43 12  -42 26 24   0.61
    162  0  0   -43 22 26   16 20 30    25    95   -29  -43 50 32  -42 54 28  -44  0 54  -42 44 13   0.61

    163  0  0   -43 39 55   16 20 31    26    94   -28  -44  7 58  -43 12  0  -44 18 20  -43  1 46   0.61
    164  0  0   -43 57  8   16 20 32    27    94   -28  -44 25  9  -43 29 16  -44 35 30  -43 19  3   0.61
    165  0  0   -44 14  5   16 20 34    27    93   -27  -44 42  3  -43 46 15  -44 52 22  -43 36  3   0.61
    166  0  0   -44 30 44   16 20 35    28    92   -26  -44 58 40  -44  2 58  -45  8 58  -43 52 47   0.61
    167  0  0   -44 47  7   16 20 36    29    91   -25  -45 15  0  -44 19 24  -45 25 18  -44  9 13   0.61

    168  0  0   -45  3 14   16 20 38    29    90   -25  -45 31  3  -44 35 33  -45 41 20  -44 25 23   0.61
    169  0  0   -45 19  3   16 20 39    30    89   -24  -45 46 49  -44 51 24  -45 57  5  -44 41 16   0.61
    170  0  0   -45 34 35   16 20 41    31    89   -23  -46  2 18  -45  6 59  -46 12 33  -44 56 52   0.61
    171  0  0   -45 49 49   16 20 42    32    88   -22  -46 17 30  -45 22 17  -46 27 44  -45 12 11   0.61
    172  0  0   -46  4 47   16 20 44    32    87   -22  -46 32 25  -45 37 17  -46 42 37  -45 27 12   0.61

    173  0  0   -46 19 27   16 20 45    33    86   -21  -46 47  2  -45 52  0  -46 57 13  -45 41 56   0.61
    174  0  0   -46 33 49   16 20 47    34    85   -20  -47  1 21  -46  6 25  -47 11 32  -45 56 23   0.61
    175  0  0   -46 47 54   16 20 48    34    84   -20  -47 15 24  -46 20 33  -47 25 33  -46 10 32   0.61
    176  0  0   -47  1 42   16 20 50    35    83   -19  -47 29  8  -46 34 24  -47 39 16  -46 24 23   0.61
    177  0  0   -47 15 12   16 20 51    36    82   -18  -47 42 35  -46 47 57  -47 52 42  -46 37 57   0.61

    178  0  0   -47 28 24   16 20 53    36    81   -17  -47 55 45  -47  1 12  -48  5 51  -46 51 13   0.61
    179  0  0   -47 41 19   16 20 54    37    80   -17  -48  8 37  -47 14 10  -48 18 41  -47  4 12   0.61
    180  0  0   -47 53 56   16 20 56    38    79   -16  -48 21 11  -47 26 50  -48 31 14  -47 16 53   0.61
   -179  0  0   -48  6 16   16 20 58    38    78   -15  -48 33 27  -47 39 12  -48 43 30  -47 29 17   0.61
   -178  0  0   -48 18 18   16 20 59    39    77   -15  -48 45 26  -47 51 17  -48 55 28  -47 41 22   0.61

   -177  0  0   -48 30  2   16 21  1    39    76   -14  -48 57  8  -48  3  4  -49  7  8  -47 53 10   0.61

Uncertainty in time = +/- 1 secs

Prediction of 2018 Jan 15.0


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