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Updated: 2007 AUG 28, 23:51 UT
Event Rank : 36
(The event Rank is a measure of the likelihood of observing an event, and is equal to the probability of at least one successful observation by a team of two observers spaced 1/8 path width just inside opposite sides of the predicted path. An event rank of 100 indicates that the prediction is expected to be very accurate).
THE UPDATED PATH
Note: The duration given in the line below is the interval during which the occultation shadow sweeps across the Earth - please see the minute markers on the map to determine the approximate time for your location.
On 2007 Sep 04 UT, the 30 km diameter asteroid (1006) Lagrangea will occult a 11.3 mag star in the constellation Triangulum for observers along a path across Western Australia from Shark Bay to Dampier.
In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 3.4 mag to 14.7 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 2.9 seconds.
This update is based on UNSO/Flagstaff astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by Alice Monet, historical astrometry from the MPC files (via AstDys), and the following catalogs for the star position: UCAC.
Additional details of this and other events are available at Steve Preston's website at http://www.asteroidoccultation.com/
EVENT DETAILS SUMMARY :Important Note regarding Accuracy:
The uncertainty interval in path widths given above (and shown as a 1-sigma uncertainty ellipse on the plot) refers to RMS deviation and is applied as a +/- range. In other words, a path uncertainty of 1.0 path widths means that the actual center of the asteroid's shadow path should fall within plus or minus 1 path width of the plotted path center. However path errors larger than 1 sigma have been observed so observers should be alert for primary occultations within plus or minus 3 sigma of the updated path.
Further, almost all asteroidal satellites discovered so far have been found within 10 diameters of the asteroid (since this distance is deep enough within the gravitational well to be stable over long timescales). Therefore, if monitoring for secondary events, observing out to about 10 path-widths either side of the predicted track remains worthwhile.
We therefore recommend that you monitor for events if your observing location is up to +/- 10 path-widths from the predicted track. If not monitoring for occultations by secondary bodies you should observe from locations within 3 sigma of the nominal path.
In terms of time, the predictions are now usually accurate to about +/- 0.3 minute so you should be most attentive during the predicted minute of the event. However if intending to catch a potential satellite occultation you should start observing at least 10 times the predicted central duration before the predicted closest approach time for your location, and continue for a similar period afterwards.
Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits
E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4
o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' "
Longitude Longitude Longitude Longitude
112 29 1 -28 0 0 20 15 18 30 0 -33 112 41 29 112 16 33 113 27 6 111 31 25
113 0 36 -27 0 0 20 15 26 31 360 -32 113 13 1 112 48 12 113 58 27 112 3 16
113 32 42 -26 0 0 20 15 34 32 359 -32 113 45 4 113 20 21 114 30 20 112 35 35
114 5 19 -25 0 0 20 15 42 33 359 -32 114 17 39 113 53 0 115 2 47 113 8 23
114 38 30 -24 0 0 20 15 51 34 358 -31 114 50 48 114 26 13 115 35 49 113 41 42
115 12 15 -23 0 0 20 15 59 35 357 -31 115 24 32 114 59 59 116 9 28 114 15 34
115 46 36 -22 0 0 20 16 9 36 357 -30 115 58 52 115 34 21 116 43 46 114 50 0
116 21 35 -21 0 0 20 16 18 37 356 -30 116 33 51 116 9 21 117 18 43 115 25 2
116 57 15 -20 0 0 20 16 28 38 355 -29 117 9 30 116 45 1 117 54 23 116 0 42
117 33 36 -19 0 0 20 16 37 39 354 -29 117 45 52 117 21 21 118 30 47 116 37 1
118 10 41 -18 0 0 20 16 48 40 354 -28 118 22 58 117 58 25 119 7 58 117 14 2
Use these links for further information:
[Planetary Occultations]
[Using the Predictions]
[Observing Details]
[Timing Details]
[Reporting Details]
[Report Form]
[Asteroid Occultation Results]
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