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ASTROMETRIC UPDATE:
OCCULTATION BY (174) PHAEDRA - 2001 JANUARY 26

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[Prediction using OCCULT software including finder charts]

The path predicted by OCCULT runs east to west through the central parts of Papua New Guinea. Lae lies on the northern edge of the predicted path.


UPDATE: 20 January 2001

This prediction update has been computed by Stephen Kerr based on astrometry from Ron Stone of the US Naval Observatory - Flagstaff Station. The ACT position of the target star has been used.

Summary:

This event was found by Brian Loader using the OCCULT software and was listed on Page 13 of the RASNZ Occultation Section Circular CN2000/4. Whereas this event was listed using the PPM identifier for the target star, the prediction posted to the website and this update use the ACT references.

Astrometry intended for another event involving (174) Phaedra crossing North America and north-western Africa on Feb 16 (TYC 1403-00772-1) has been used to update this event.

This update suggests that the path has moved around 0.5" to the north and around 30 seconds earlier. This places the path to the north of all of the Papua New Guinea islands. The time for closest approach for Rabaul is 17:14:30 UT and for Madang 17:15:10 UT

Observers should note that only 6 astrometric positions have been used in this update and as such the islands of New Ireland, New Britain and the northern parts of the main island of New Guinea may still lie within the error tolerances of this calculation.

THE EVENT AT ONE GLIMPSE: The Occultation Path: Data for the target star: Data for the minor planet: Data for the event:

Phaedra Update

IMPORTANT NOTE!

Astrometric updates such as these should not be taken as definitive, but rather only as an indication of where the true track may lie relative to the original predicted track. Observers must bear in mind that later astrometry, in which the target star is measured in the same field as the asteroid, may still reveal substantial changes to the predicted track and time of the event. For this reason it is most important that observers far from the predicted track still monitor the event.

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